Will Violent Insurgencies Emerge in the United States before 2032?
12
100Ṁ2502032
57%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution will be based on whether there is media consensus that any actions undertaken by politically motivated guerrilla groups represent an insurgency. I will not bet on this market. I'm open to suggestions that refine the resolution criteria before 2026.
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