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Will there be widespread fuel shortages in Moscow city before 1 December 2026?
10
1ká¹€1146
Nov 30
75%
chance

This market resolves YES if Moscow city (not the whole oblast) suffers from widespread fuel shortages before 1 December 2026. It resolves NO if no such shortage occurs until then.

Indicators of a shortage could include, amongst others:

  1. Fuel rationing is instituted

  2. Very long queues at gas stations

  3. The government declares a state of emergency concerning fuel


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https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/moscow-oil-refinery-hit-by-drone-attacks-is-unlikely-resume-production-this-year-2026-06-24/

Looks like this question is currently very relevant. It does not look to me that "widespread" applies, yet, but there definitely seem to be some shortages occuring. I am checking the news and observing the situation

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