Leopold Aschenbrenner firing from OpenAI market
21
1kṀ8922027
90%
OpenAI was looking for a pretext to fire him before they identified the leak
85%
He was fired
72%
He leaked non-trivial information
60%
The leak was not in bad faith
50%
The firing meaningfully relates to the board drama
40%
There will be related legal action against him
39%
The firing meaningfully relates to concerns he had about AI timelines/alignment not being taken seriously enough (https://twitter.com/apples_jimmy/status/1778558928433119599)
30%
The firing meaningfully relates to Ilya
27%
The firing will result in legal action against OpenAI
25%
He was going to quit
8%
The firing meaningfully relates to Q*
I won't trade, and will aim to tighten and clarify criteria as people engage with the market and ask clarifying questions. I'll be somewhat active in curating and culling answers people add.
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Central example of good faith: misunderstood a policy, shared information to try help the OpenAI mission, wasn't trying to be secretive about it
Central example of bad faith: in clear violation of OpenAI policy, information shared was to the detriment of OpenAI, took efforts to not get caught, he personally benefited
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