Resolves to YES in 2030 with 5% chance
10
110Ṁ5592030
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Once it is 2030, I will generate a uniformly random integer in [1,100] and this resolves YES if that number <= 5, else resolves NO.
Update 2025-07-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified they will use the Fairly Random Bot to generate the random number for resolution.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Resolves yes in year 4000
99% chance
This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030
99% chance
Resolves No in 2100
1% chance
Resolves No in 2030
1% chance
Resolves YES on Jan 1 2029
99% chance
This market resolves to YES on December 31st 2050
99% chance
This market resolves NO in a year.
2% chance
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030
49% chance
Will I resolve this market on January 1st 2030?
34% chance
This market resolves NO in a year.
1% chance