If polio is reintroduced in the Americas until Aug 25th, 2029, through which country will it happen?
6
540á¹€1662029
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
35%
Other country, unlisted here by the time the first suspect case arises
32%
Venezuela
26%
6%
Haiti
Related to the market: Will wild polio be reintroduced in the Americas before August 25th, 2029?
The resolution criteria is the same as the above mentioned market: only wild poliovirus count, and only cases that lead to local transmission count.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
If polio is reintroduced in the Americas until Aug 25th, 2029, will it cause an outbreak w/ ≥200 cases in one country?
15% chance
Will wild polio be reintroduced in the Americas before August 25th, 2029?
13% chance
Will Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026?
23% chance
Will there be at least one calendar year with no reported wild polio cases before 2030?
56% chance
Will there be a case of paralysis or death attributed to polio in the USA before 2030
66% chance
What % of US children age 24 months will be vaccinated against polio in 2030?
Will regulations or mandates on the polio vaccine for children be lessened by the end of Trump's term?
42% chance
Lockdowns/mandates in USA from Monkeypox by end of 2026?
5% chance