Will some factory farmed animals be made incapable of experiencing any physical or psychological suffering, by 2030?

1kṀ6867

2030

chance

ALL

The ACX grant results of 2024 are out. Will this team, or other efforts like it, succeed in creating factory farmed animals that don't experience pain?

It doesn't need to be through the precise mechanism mentioned here, but it should be commercially viable (can be used on actual farm animals).

Vegan

Animal welfare

Animal Consumption Trends

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Pessoas também estão operando

Will meat from animals that have been bred to feel little or no suffering be commercially available by 2044?

22% chance

Will it be common knowledge that farmed fish, eggs and chicken produce more suffering than other animal products? (2050)

52% chance

Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026?

15% chance

Will there be a year, before 2030, in which *total* AI suffering outweighs total 2022 farmed animal suffering?

22% chance

Will there be a year, before 2030, in which *net* AI suffering outweighs net 2022 farmed animal suffering?

32% chance

Will there be a year, before 2040, in which *total* AI suffering outweighs total 2022 farmed animal suffering?

21% chance

Will there be a year, before 2040, in which *net* AI suffering outweighs net 2022 farmed animal suffering?

40% chance

Will factory farming have been outlawed in at least one country by 2050?

81% chance

Will any state or company implement mass production of living humans by 2200?

27% chance

Will factory farming still be legal in most countries by 2050?

Ordenar por:

Does lab-grown meat count?

comprou Ṁ25 YES

@Jcd51 no, good question

What if regulation of GMOs prevents implementation, but people still know how to create these animals?

@JoeC if no actual en-masse effort reduces suffering for factory farmed animals from this kind of tech, resolves NO. So if it gets outlawed but the tech exists that'd resolve NO, unless some people did it illegally anyway on a significant basis, I guess. Sorry if that's a vague or finicky criteria but what I care about in asking this question is to know whether the animals are likely to end up suffering less