Will at least one Ivy League university have a new permanent president start work before Sept 7, 2026?
3
300á¹€72Sep 9
52%
chance
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This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve. Do not bet on this market if that is going to bother you.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
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Not resolved yet, but material: https://secretary.columbia.edu/news/columbia-board-trustees-announces-jennifer-l-mnookin-universitys-next-president
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