US Strategic Petroleum Reserve - lowest value in 2026
12
1ká¹€4168
Dec 31
35%
Below 250 million
18%
Below 200 million
8%
Below 150 million
Resolvido
YES
Below 300 million
Resolvido
YES
Below 350 million

How low with US petroleum reserves get to ease the price shock from the Iran war?

The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve as of April 24th is 397.9 million barrels, down from 415 million pre-war.

President Trump authorized the Department of Energy to release 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, beginning next week. This will take approximately 120 days to deliver based on planned discharge rates (March 11th, https://www.energy.gov/articles/united-states-release-172-million-barrels-oil-strategic-petroleum-reserve)

This market resolves based on the values officially reported by EIA - currently at https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/ under "Petroleum Balance Sheet". Directly at https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/pdf/table1.pdf (will update if the source changes). Only values for May 2026 or later count for the question

Some historical trends at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W

The lowest value in recent history (pre Iran war) is 347.1 million barrels from June 2023

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Added a higher-resolution version:

comprou á¹€100 NO

Going below 150 m may not even be possible.

When will it start increasing?

Is there international agreement that major countries have signed, that in principle, all government data obtained through ".gov" websites, must be really badly organised, broken, and fundamentally anti-human to access?

In this comment thread, I'll try to post updates whenever a new datapoint is released. For May 1st (released yesterday) we have 392.7 million barrels

@AIBear May 8th: 384.1 million

@AIBear May 15th: 374.2 million

@AIBear May 22nd: 365.1 million

@AIBear May 29th: 357.1 million

@AIBear June 5th: 349.2 million, (<350 resolves YES)

@AIBear June 12th: 340.3

@AIBear June 19th: 331.2 million

@AIBear June 26th: 325.7 million

@AIBear July 3rd: 319.5 million

@AIBear July 10th: 316.5 million

@AIBear July 17th: 311.4 million

@AIBear July 24th 307.7 million

@AIBear July 31st 304.8 million

@AIBear August 7th 298.7 million

@AIBear August 14th 293.4 million

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