This is earning mana the long and hard way 😂

@MarySmith @Robincvgr has done markets like this that are out on the fringes by doing some maths to make trading in the 90s more like trading in the 50s @4fa if you had any interest

@MarySmith Not at the moment, but if you make such a market yourself, feel free to link it here.

@4fa Playing the SSA actuarial tables exactly?

@MarySmith Approximately… 😉

@4fa how big of a limit order are you interested going in on @ 94% for making it through the year?

@MarySmith Not much, to be honest. I think it's closer to 97% than to 94%, but other traders in this market have bet it lower, maybe they'd be interested in a deal with you.

@4fa hard to say - Big Don is taking big actions that have consequences bigly...

Currently some arbitrage opportunity with the 2025 market: https://manifold.markets/4fa/on-which-days-will-donald-trump-be