Which Nov 2026 California ballot propositions will pass?
15
Ṁ1084Nov 3
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
82%
02 (Increases State's Rainy Day Fund)
80%
01 (Bonds for Housing Affordability Programs)
76%
03 (Extends High-Income Tax for Schools & Health)
68%
42 (Bans New State Personal Property Taxes)
62%
37 (Loans for Middle-Income Homebuyers)
55%
38 (Bonds for Immunology Research)
52%
41 (Limits New State Taxes; Special Tax Audits)
50%
45 (Modifies Environmental Review for Certain Projects)
45%
04 (Repeals Ban on Public Campaign Financing)
43%
05 (Changes Statewide Recall Process)
41%
43 (Limits Voters' Ability to Raise Local Revenue)
38%
40 (One-Time Tax on Billionaires)
24%
44 (Clinics Must Spend 90% on Program Services)
13%
39 (Requires Government ID to Vote)
Listed every State Proposition for California for the upcoming Nov 2026 midterm. Market resolves before election day because I care about knowing the market's view on ballot outcomes before election day.
Each proposition will end in either a YES or NO vote according to its rules (ie I'm not sure if certain propositions require a super majority vs a simple majority to pass).
Props 40, 41, 42, 43 are interconnected and have generated a lot of buzz. I'm the most interested in these four measures.
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