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Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2030?
21
1ká¹€1423
2030
13%
chance

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I think we might go above 20% annually somewhere in 2030-2033, but tricky seeing that happen before 2030 without some really massive deployment of AGI

This is really off the charts. 6.3% achieved on the post-COVID recovery, and this is the record since 1980

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