Will Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Price if there's peace in Ukraine?
47
1ká¹€62902027
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
3%
Peace and Nobel
24%
Peace but no Nobel
72%
No peace, no Nobel
1.2%
No peace, Nobel anyway
Peace before 2027. There doesn't have to be an explicit causal relationship, just whether the two things happen.
This is a derivative market; it will resolve exactly according to these underlying markets:
Previously:
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]
4% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
19% chance
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 months of his inauguration?
22% chance
Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?
4% chance
Does Trump receive Ig Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
10% chance
Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
10% chance
Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?
7% chance
Will Trump win Nobel Piss Prize 2026? [Read description]
84% chance
Will the "Trump Nobel Peace Prize 2026" market ever reach 10% again?
20% chance
Will Trump host or attend a summit with both Zelenskyy and Putin by June 30, 2026?
22% chance