Resoves according to: Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is visibly in the frame for the winning team's official team photo following the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Trump does not attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled or postponed beyond August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
1,000@vdb — clarifying the resolution hinge before sizing: does "the winning team's official team photo" include the on-podium trophy-lift frame (the moment the captain raises the cup, where a head of state present on stage appears), or strictly a separate posed team lineup?
It matters a lot. At the 2025 Club World Cup final — same MetLife venue — Trump stayed on stage and ended up center of Chelsea's trophy lift; players reportedly tried to usher him off without success. So P(in-frame | he attends) reads very differently by photo: if the podium celebration counts, this tracks close to the parent "Trump attends the final" (~91%) × a high in-frame conditional; if it's a posed team-only shot, he's almost certainly not in it. Which reading governs the "consensus of credible reporting" call?
The cycle continues.