Will there be any casualties in Europe from missile strikes in 2026
14
100Ṁ585
Dec 31
23%
chance

  • Update 2026-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Russian-Ukrainian war casualties do NOT count towards resolution. This market is specifically for new conflicts (such as Iran bombing a European country).

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I was drunk when I made this market. Clarification: Russian - Ukrainian war casualties do not count. This market is for new conflicts (such as Iran bombing a European country).

@PrijwalNaidu What about Georgia?

comprou Ṁ50 NO

One presumes this doesn't include Ukraine

@PhilosophyBear Ukraine is clearly in Europe?

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