Will there be a war over AI before 2035?
30
1kṀ19612035
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The typical defition of war; at least 1000 combatant deaths.
It doesn't have to be solely fought over AI, but AI must be a significant cause.
Update 2025-06-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In a scenario involving robot combat, the 1000 combatant deaths can consist of:
Humans
Machines that are generally believed to be sentient
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
20% chance
Will AI start a war before 2040
21% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?
9% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?
28% chance
Will there be a massive catastrophe caused by AI before 2030?
27% chance
Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?
6% chance
Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?
11% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
33% chance
Ordenar por:
@TheWabiSabi If the robots kill at least 1000 humans or machines that are generally believed to be sentient, yes.
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
20% chance
Will AI start a war before 2040
21% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?
9% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?
28% chance
Will there be a massive catastrophe caused by AI before 2030?
27% chance
Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?
6% chance
Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?
11% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
33% chance