Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in one day in 2026, 2027, 2028 or 2029?
5
1kṀ14292027
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria: The market will be based on closing prices only, comparing the close to close price movement from one day to the next.
Intraday Prices: Any price movements within the trading day will not be considered.
Weekend closes count: The market will consider close-to-close price movements from Friday to Monday as a single day-to-day comparison for the purposes of determining if there was a >5% decrease.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in one day in 2026 or 2027?
18% chance
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026?
51% chance
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in one day in the period from 2026 to 2032?
28% chance
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2026?
37% chance
Will the S&P 500 close up or down by more than 5% in a day in 2026?
63% chance