Will the largest known prime number be non-Mersenne before 2030?
7
100Ṁ1502030
32%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Since 1992, the largest known prime number has been a Mersenne prime. Will the largest known prime number be non-Mersenne at any time before 2030?
This market will resolve YES if it becomes publicly known that a number not of the form 2^n - 1, where n is an integer, is proven to be prime, and is larger than all other publicly known primes at the time, before 2030 begins in any timezone.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will a non-Mersenne prime become the largest known prime at some point before 2030-01-01?
38% chance
Will the ordering of the known Mersenne primes be proved by 2030?
91% chance
Will there be a new largest known prime number by the end of 2027? (Last one - Oct 21 2024)
57% chance
Will humans say the largest prime number before we find the next one?
5% chance
Will the prime factors of RSA-1024 be known by 2030?
21% chance
Are there infinitely many Mersenne primes?
89% chance
Does there exist more than 51 Mersenne primes below 2^136279841-1?
10% chance
Will the prime factors of RSA-2048 be known before 2030?
12% chance
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
47% chance
Will the Collatz Conjecture (3x+1 problem) be solved before 2030?
15% chance