Will the Gaowangjie Crocodile Newt (Tylototriton gaowangjienensis) become Extinct by 2100?
3
500Ṁ2672099
68%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the Gaowangjie Crocodile Newt, a newly discovered species that is Not Evaluated on the IUCN Red List. Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and captive individuals. The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the species is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the Gaowangjie Crocodile Newt persists.
For more information about the species, see:
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will the wild population of Cozumel Thrasher (Toxostoma guttatum) become Extinct by 2100?
98% chance
Will the wild population of the Chinese Allligator (Alligator sinensis) become Extinct by 2100?
48% chance
Will the Yangtze Sturgeon (Sinosturio dabryanus) become Extinct by 2100?
29% chance
Will the wild population of Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become Extinct by 2100?
98% chance
Will the Chinese Alligator (Alligator sinensis) become extinct in the current century?
12% chance
Will the wild population of the Beijing Loach (Cobitis beijingensis) become extinct by 2100?
38% chance
Will the Nile Crocodile (Crocodylus niloticus) become extinct in the current century?
8% chance
Will the Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become extinct in the current century?
98% chance
Big-headed Amazon River Turtle (Peltocephalus dumerilianus) Extinct by 2100?
34% chance
Will the wild population of the Komodo Dragon (Varanus komodoensis) become Extinct by 2100?
36% chance