Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets? | Axel

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Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

16

1kṀ917

2027

40%

chance

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6H

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1W

1M

ALL

Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.

To count, the article must be substantially about Manifold Markets as a place for prediction markets. As in other contexts, I'll use "33% of the length is actually about Manifold" as a rough threshold, but I reserve the right to adjust if I decide that rule is inappropriate on a case-by-case basis.

I'll not be betting in this market, of course.

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previuYES

@ScottLawrence Should the close date on this be extended if it hasn't happened yet?

@EvanDaniel yeah I'm extending close dates as I get the emails

previuYES

@ScottLawrence Sounds good, thanks!

By that name? Does it count if they mention in passing that there is a market about how long Biden will live?

@JimHays doesn't need the word "assassination", but needs to be clearly referencing the moral hazard and opportunity for controversy

@JimHays is someone going to assassinate the president for fictional internet money

Pessoas também estão operando

Will the first WaPo article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Will the first Reuters article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Will the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?

Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?

Will the New York Times create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Perguntas relacionadas

Will the first WaPo article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Will the first Reuters article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Will the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?

Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?

Will the New York Times create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

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