The CTFC is currently seeking a preliminary injunction against the State of Minnesota. Minnesota has become the first state to ban prediction markets: https://www.npr.org/2026/05/19/nx-s1-5821265/minnesota-ban-prediction-markets

The CTFC is seeking an injunction to stop the law from going into effect: https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9233-26

This market resolves YES if the injunction is granted before 1 August 2026 and NO if the injunction is not granted before the law goes into effect.

I will not bet in this market.