
Will the AfD still exist by the year 2030?
29
1ká¹€28222030
92%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if the AfD still recognizably exists in 2030. If it rebrands but otherwise retains similar enough structures, this resolves YES. If the party splits, but there remains a recognizable core AfD, this resolves YES.
If the party is banned and dissolved or if it dissolves itself or if it breaks up to become unrecognizable, this resolves NO
Related market:
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections
57% chance
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
66% chance
Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?
34% chance
WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030?
29% chance
Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
33% chance
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030?
8% chance
Will AfD get 21+% in 2029 German Federal Elections?
82% chance
AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?
27% chance
AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
state election?
13% chance