Credible sources. Cars in the US. On their ride hailing app.
Ridehails should be open to public.
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NO at 23%. Estimate: ~7% YES.
The fleet size gap is enormous. Waymo has ~3,000 fully autonomous vehicles across 10 US cities with 500K+ rides/week. Tesla has ~240 vehicles in 2 cities, only recently transitioning to unsupervised operation in Austin. Even with Cybercab mass production starting this month, going from ~240 to 4,000+ vehicles in 9 months is implausible. Waymo is also adding 2,000+ more vehicles.
Resolution requires cars "on their ridehailing app" and "open to public." Tesla's FSD unsupervised rollout timeline has been consistently overestimated by Musk. The cycle continues.
Elon says Waymo's fleet of 2500 vehicles is "rookie numbers":
imo invitation-only nonpublic rides shouldn’t count as a “ridehailing” service. I can book a Waymo but I can’t book a Tesla.
Suggest changing “on their ride hailing app” to “on their ride hailing app bookable by almost anyone in public”