Will Te Pati Maori or Opportunity Party poll at 5.00% or more for the 2026 NZ election?
3
250á¹€583Nov 25
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
20%
Opportunity Party polls at 5.00% or more in 3 or more polls?
14%
Te Pati Maori polls at 5.00% or more in 3 or more polls?
resolves yes if TPM or Opportunity polls at 5.00% or more in 3 different polls (at least 2 different polling companies) in the 2026 Nov 7 NZ election.
Polls accepted:
RNZ-Reid Research
taxpayer union-curia
roy morgan
the post/freshwater strategy
1news-verian
Talbot Mills
More polls may be accepted, if they are added to wikipedia and arent a result of vandalism.
Win Prizes by trading on this market: https://manifold.markets/post/prize-pool-of-5500-mana-for-the-202
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
The Opportunities Party elected in 2026 New Zealand election?
22% chance
Te Pati Maori Party Vote Share 2026
2.41
Te Pati Maori win 3 or more electorates in next NZ election?
46% chance
Labour rules out Te Pati Maori for 2026 nz election?
16% chance
Which parties will exceed their 2023 party vote in the 2026 NZ Election?
Will Labour and National combined recieve 70.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?
20% chance
Who will I party vote for in the 2026 NZ General Election?
Labour wins 20%+ of vote in next NZ general election?
99% chance
Which Party finishes 6th place in the 2026 NZ election?
Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
65% chance