Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2026 PS–Place Publique presidential primary?
1
100Ṁ27
Oct 8
73%
chance
8

Resolves YES if Raphaël Glucksmann is declared the winner of the 2026 presidential primary organized by France's Parti Socialiste and Place Publique. Otherwise resolves NO.

Use the final official result, including any runoff. Withdrawal, disqualification, cancellation of the primary, or selection of another candidate resolves NO.

Primary sources: Parti Socialiste and Place Publique. The market closes before first-round voting begins.

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