Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

Will betting in or subsidizing specific prediction markets be an EA cause area by 2030?

Will Prediction Markets be banned before 31 December, 2026?

Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035?

Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?

Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?

Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?

There will be a new business vertical that uses prediction markets as a core feature by 2030