Will over 1000 Gazans be killed by the IDF in 2026?
16
1ká¹€2331Dec 31
76%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Only direct, violent deaths count, so no starvation or death from a lack of medical care (unless the ailment in question was the result of Israeli violence)
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@Athena I disagree, not on whether they will kill more civilians, but on whether a Manifold market about it is wrong. I think that things like this ground the reality of the situation.
@Balasar at the end of the day, you are profiting (now fake money, thankfully) off of people being killed by betting YES here. That inherently rubs me the wrong way.
@Athena Yeah I absolutely get what you mean. But its not like betting is making the atrocities worse so I still bet. Your choice is your choice, do whatever you feel best doing.