Resolution criteria
This market resolves to "Yes" if Viktor Orbán makes a public statement explicitly alleging "massive election fraud" within one week after the Hungarian parliamentary elections held on 12 April 2026. For the purposes of this market, a "public statement" includes verbal remarks during press conferences, official interviews, social media posts on his verified accounts, or statements released by his office.
Resolution will be based on reports from reputable international news organizations (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, BBC, AFP). Ambiguous statements that do not explicitly allege "massive fraud" will resolve to "No."
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@Lorelai This is not about Orban claiming that there has been massive election fraud. Indeed. so far I haven't seen any such claims reported in the media.
@Edvard men are so weird. I posted it because it's interesting and semi relevant, not because I don't understand the market.
@Lorelai imo posting a link without explanatory text does usually imply that the story has an obvious impact on this market