Will "Optimisation: Selective versus Predictive" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
1
1ká¹€12028
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Optimisation: Selective versus Predictive is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will "The behavioral selection model for predicting..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
23% chance
Will "Prioritizing Work" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
8% chance
Will "Are We In A Coding Overhang?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
7% chance
Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
35% chance
Will "Optimizing The Final Output Can Obfuscate CoT..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Judgements: Merging Prediction & Evidence" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "2025 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Good if make prior after data instead of before" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "METR Research Update: Algorithmic vs. Holisti..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance