Will OpenAI shares pay a dividend before AGI or by 2031?
25
1kṀ24122030
13%
chance
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This resolves YES if OpenAI shares pay out a combined $1 billion or more in distributions to all shareholders. This can be a dividend or profit distribution, or proceeds from a sale of the company. Share buybacks do not count.
This resolves NO if OpenAI declares that it has achieved AGI, the company goes bankrupt, or the deadline occurs.
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