Will "Only Law Can Prevent Extinction" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
4
1kṀ1152028
26%
chance
6
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Only Law Can Prevent Extinction is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Esta pergunta Ă© gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will "The Eldritch in the 21st century" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "AI Governance to Avoid Extinction: The Strate..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Safety researchers should take a public stance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
31% chance
Will "The Lethal Reality Hypothesis" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Re: recent Anthropic safety research" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Precedents for the Unprecedented: Historical ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Do not conquer what you cannot defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The World Keeps Getting Saved and You Don’t N..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
16% chance