Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2050?
5
135Ṁ622049
71%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
“Yes” Resolution:
The market resolves to Yes if before January 1st 2050, at least one nuclear fusion facility meets these requirements:The facility must demonstrate a net energy gain, producing more electrical energy than the total energy required to sustain and operate the reactor
Is connected to a power grid (so that homes, businesses, or other customers use this electricity).
Maintains a net electrical output of at least 1 megawatt to the grid.
Operates under the above conditions for a sustained period of at least 30 consecutive days.
“No” Resolution:
If no such fusion power plant has met the above conditions by January 1st 2050, the market resolves to No.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2045?
55% chance
Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2040?
68% chance
Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2035?
39% chance
In what year will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid?
2046
Will nuclear fusion become a viable energy source before 2050?
74% chance
Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?
36% chance
Will fusion provide >30% of US electrical power by 2100?
55% chance
Will fusion provide >10% of US electrical power by 2100?
50% chance
Will fusion power be commercially available by 2050?
65% chance
Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power by 2100?
57% chance