Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030?
7
100Ṁ194
2029
5%
chance

This market resolves YES iff Nectome preserves over a thousand patients in a single calendar year. I will be lenient about what counts as a preservation, and resolve based on any credible claim by the company.

See also: https://manifold.markets/MaxHarms/will-nectome-perform-1000-brain-pre

  • Update 2026-04-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only human brain preservations count toward resolution. Animal (e.g. pet) preservations do not count.

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comprou Ṁ50 NO

For reference, the cryonics institute has 278 human patients as of 2026.

Do animal (e.g. pets) preservations count?

@Egor Ah great question! No, they must be human.

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