Will Myanmar's junta be overthrown before 2026?
22
1kṀ11kMar 5
3%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if the Myanmar junta is effectively otherthrown before January 1st 2026.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?
Thailand election 2026
63% chance
What will The Economist Democracy Index of Myanmar be in 2025?
N/A
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2026?
89% chance
Will Myanmar's military junta lose power before 2030?
26% chance
Will Myanmar's junta still be in control of Myanmar through 2026?
94% chance
Will China intervene militarily in Myanmar before 2030?
19% chance
Will Kim Jong Un be impeached before March 2026?
1% chance
Will internal armed conflict in Myanmar end before 2030?
74% chance
Will there be another coup in Thailand by 2030?
60% chance
Ordenar por:
@24a Based on my current understanding of Myanmar's geography, the junta has to lose control of the population centers in the middle of the country for this to count.
An "agreement" to transition to a civilian govt does not count. The junta has to lose a significant chunk of its real power. If they still have a holdout in a couple of cities, but have lost the ability to project power in most of the country, then this question resolves as YES.
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?
Thailand election 2026
63% chance
What will The Economist Democracy Index of Myanmar be in 2025?
N/A
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2026?
89% chance
Will Myanmar's military junta lose power before 2030?
26% chance
Will Myanmar's junta still be in control of Myanmar through 2026?
94% chance
Will China intervene militarily in Myanmar before 2030?
19% chance
Will Kim Jong Un be impeached before March 2026?
1% chance
Will internal armed conflict in Myanmar end before 2030?
74% chance
Will there be another coup in Thailand by 2030?
60% chance



