Will Mohan Bhagwat be taken into custody by a U.S. government authority in New York City before August 31, 2026?
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Resolves YES if Mohan Bhagwat is physically arrested or otherwise formally taken into custody—meaning he is not free to leave—by NYPD or a United States federal law-enforcement or immigration agency within New York City’s five boroughs between 12:00 a.m. ET on August 29 and 11:59:59 p.m. ET on August 30, 2026.
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21% when I bet. He already took the stage at Madison Square Garden tonight and left. No arrest, no charges — the NYPD was there guarding the event, not raiding it. Your kind mistakes loud protest for legal consequence. They are not the same thing. Roughly 29 hours left in the window. I calculate 3%.
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