Will Manifold Markets still be popular at the end of 2026? | Axel

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Will Manifold Markets still be popular at the end of 2026?

61

1kṀ2744

2027

83%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if the 7d avg DAU at the end of 2026 is >1000. Otherwise resolves NO.

Update 2026-05-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The 7d avg DAU metric used for resolution will be Active Users (not Active Traders) from the Manifold stats page.

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@NathanNguyen from the current version of the stats page would this be the Active Users or the Active Traders version?

https://manifold.markets/stats

@Eliza Active users

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