Will leap seconds still exist on 31 December 2050?
8
428á¹€4912050
29%
Yes
3%
No, replaced with leap minutes
25%
No, replaced with leap hours
38%
No, civil time based on atomic time (e.g. TAI) and fully decoupled from Earth rotation
3%
No, civil time based on Earth rotation (e.g. UT1) and fully decoupled from atomic time
3%
Something else
(If they're replaced by leap minutes, there will be around one every few decades, and if they're replaced by leap hours, there will be around one every couple millennia.)
Resolves based on what the rules are on 31 December 2050, regardless of how many or how few leap seconds/minutes/hours are actually added or subtracted.
They don't have to be implemented as extra seconds/minutes/hours as today -- smoother adjustments would also count.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Ordenar por:
https://www.bipm.org/en/cgpm-2026/resolution-5 (though in principle it might change again before the end of 2050 so I'm not resolving the market yet)
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will there be a negative leap second by end of 2035?
18% chance
Will there be another positive leap second by end of 2035?
20% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?
12% chance
By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water towards the poles to reduce leap seconds?
2% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 80 seconds to midnight in 2027?
25% chance
Will 4000 be a leap year?
34% chance
Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026?
1% chance
Will the moon still exist on March 15th, 2039?
95% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?
32% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?
23% chance