Will Labor lead One Nation in the polls at the end of June 2026?
10
265Ṁ520Jun 30
28%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve YES if, at the close date, Labor has a larger primary vote share than One Nation according to a majority of the following pollsters:
Roy Morgan
Pyxis (Newspoll)
Essential
YouGov
DemosAU
This market will otherwise resolve NO.
Close date
This market is set to close at 14:00 UTC on 30 June 2026, although it may resolve sooner.
Clarifications
The most recently published voting intention poll from each pollster at the close date will be used.
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