Will Keir Starmer's successor have a longer tenure as prime minister than Keir?
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Resolves based on length of tenure according to wikipedia or in case not recorded there, significant publications of record or authoritative media. From being instilled by the crown to resignation to the crown.
Market closure date will be adjusted to ensure stays open in normal circumstances to successor submitting resignation to crown.
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Burnham has already floated the idea of a GE. This idea will be pushed into him harder by the opposition as he currently holds very little legitimacy. (Assuming Burnham will be PM)
Under current polling Reform are most likely to win a GE (with current voting rules). Therefore if Burnham calls a GE he is likely to lose it.
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