Will Jon Ossoff run and win the 2028 Presidential Election?
3
Ṁ1210
2028
45%
Jon Ossoff does not run for president in 2028
34%
Jon Ossoff runs, loses 2028 democratic primary
7%
Jon Ossoff is democratic nominee and loses the 2028 presidential election
14%
Jon Ossoff is democratic nominee and wins the 2028 presidential election

Thomas Jonathan Ossoff, the incumbent Georgia senator denies that he will run for president in 2028. But promises in politics are quite meaningless.

Market will resolve to one of the four options listed. Basically boils down to three questions:

  1. Will he even run?

  2. Will he win the nomination?

  3. Will he win?

We can calculate conditional odds from the market

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