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Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
27
1.2kṀ4850
2028
58%
Vance is not nominated
25%
Vance is nominated and loses
17%
Vance is nominated and wins

US Politics
Republican Party
2028 US Presidential Election
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I'm a fan of this ternary market structure. It's basically "Given nomination, will he win?" but with a first-class "not nominated" result instead of the hackish n/a.

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