Will Israel annex a part of Gaza in the next 3 years (Nov 17 2027)?
34
1kṀ6669
2027
16%
chance

The market resolves YES if through some official channel, Israel proclaims its sovereignty over territory of Gaza hitherto outside its domain, before Nov 17 2027.

Resolves NO on Nov 17 2027 otherwise.

See also:
/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-gaza-by
/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-the-wes
/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-part-of-palestine

/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-gaza-in (this market)

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@Bayesian making sure: if a senuor politician , e.g. the PM, say something like "it is ours and we will always control it as integralpart of our homeland" or whatever without an actual vote in the parliament or government or anything else that has actual legal weight - does it cone a official?

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