Will HOC beat the big AI labs to AGI?
19
1kṀ13k2030
9%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
HOC is HigherOrderCO, see https://higherorderco.com. Context:
Resolution criteria:
If HOC builds the first AGI as determined a panel of 3 manifold mods without a position on this market, the market resolves YES. Resolves NO otherwise.
The market close date will be extended until an AGI is achieved.
Esta pergunta Ă© gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Ordenar por:
Conditional on no one else achieving AGI first, will HOC build an AGI by September 8 2028?
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will AI create the first AGI?
42% chance
Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
31% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?
By when will we have AGI?
Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?
10% chance
Will an AI Lab in China build AGI before 2030?
52% chance
Will AGI be a problem before non-G AI?
20% chance
Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?
54% chance