Will Hans Niemann become World Chess Champion within the next 25 years?
27
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6%
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He has declared his intention to do so: https://hansniemann.substack.com/p/the-tide-is-slowly-shifting
Resolves YES when he is declared classical World Chess Champion by FIDE or beats a lineal successor of Magnus Carlsen in a match widely acknowledged as the classical World Chess Championship (a la Kramnik). Resolves NO in all other cases
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