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Will Guinea worm disease be eradicated before 2031?
23
2kṀ1448
2031
38%
chance

Note that to be declared eradicated, there must be zero reported cases for 3 years. From https://www.who.int/activities/certifying-eradication-of-dracunculiasis:

To be declared free of dracunculiasis, a country that has stopped transmission of the disease must have reported zero indigenous cases through active surveillance for at least 3 consecutive calendar years.

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@Xelad102c And now my own numeric market.

comprou Ṁ10 YES

We can pray it will. Hope this horrible thing gets extincted ASAP. (Looks like it might've started jumping to dogs, though.)

@Slackhammer It's been in dogs for a while. The relatively new thing is actually tracking that, because we didn't realize that dogs/cats/monkeys could be a reservoir that might infect humans.

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