Will Greens, ACT or NZ First poll at 15.00% or more for the 2026 NZ Election?
5
600Ṁ3568
Nov 7
10%
NZ First polls at 15.00% or more in 3 or more polls?
5%
ACT polls at 15.00% or more in 3 or more polls?
Resolvido
YES
Greens poll at 15.00% or more in 3 or more polls?

resolves yes if the party polls at 15.00% or more 3 or more polls. (after market creation)

all 3 appearances cant be the same company though. Must be at least 2 different polling companies reporting it.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_New_Zealand_general_election#Table_of_polls

Polls accepted:

RNZ-Reid Research

taxpayer union-curia

roy morgan

the post/freshwater strategy

1news-verian

Talbot Mills

More polls may be accepted, if they are added to wikipedia and arent a result of vandalism.

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I think you can resolve the Greens to YES, two from Roy Morgan and two from 1 News-Verian.

vendeu Ṁ1 NO
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