Will GothamChess become a grandmaster by 2080?

Política Esportes Cripto Finanças Geopolítica Resultados Tecnologia Cultura Mundo Economia Eleições

1kṀ3445

2080

20%

chance

ALL

Resolves YES if FIDE awards Levy Rozman (GothamChess) the chess grandmaster title at any point before 2080. Resolves NO otherwise.

Chess

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Pessoas também estão operando

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

45% chance

When will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) become a Grandmaster?

Levy Rozman (Gotham Chess) or Eric Rosen becomes a GM by 2035

24% chance

Will chess be solved by 2040?

10% chance

Will chess be solved by 2100?

45% chance

Will an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

57% chance

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster at chess by EOY 2035?

70% chance

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

60% chance

Will an LLM (a GPT-like text AI) defeat the World Champion at Chess before 2035?

68% chance

Who will be a world chess champion before 2050?

7 Comentários

38 Posições

57 Atividades

Ordenar por:

lol

Why 2080, I'm not looking to win mana when I'm 78 years old, and GothamChess is not likely to reach GM after 40 years old. Just resolve it in 10 years or something.

previuNO

@SophusCorry true, ha. People are already bought in here - maybe another market with shorter timeline would be good

@SophusCorry Don't forget about World Senior Championship! Winner automatically gets the GM title.

@themightysalmon Ahahahaha I often wonder if things like manifold will still be around when I'm so old. And whether I'll be around and whether I would care about this if I were.