Will Democrats win any senate seat this is not a current main target?
18
1kṀ1668Nov 4
60%
chance
13
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if democrats or an independent, win any 2026 senate seat election in:
Alabama
Arkansas
Florida
Idaho
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Montana
Nebraska
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
West Virginia
Wyoming
Independents like Dan Osborn and Seth Bodnar and Brian bengs and more count as dems for this market.
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Market was 47% when I bought, I've got it around 65%. Kansas alone is a coin flip: the polling average has Hamilton up about a point and Kalshi has the Democrat at 50.5%. So this can't sensibly be below Kansas by itself, and Osborn in Nebraska (34% on Kalshi) and South Carolina (27%) add more ways to win. https://www.pollcheck.co.uk/us-midterms-2026/senate/kansas
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