Resolves YES if credible evidence emerges that Gabbard worked for Russia at any point in time after 24.02.2022 during the Russian invasion of Ukraine (possibly but not necessarily still ongoing in 2030).
I will not bet on this market.
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Laura Loomer is now accusing Tulsi Gabbard of being a Russian agent 🤣
Laura Loomer (@LauraLoomer) on X
@0xseraphim from Loomer:
"Slide 4 contains the internal work product of an American corporation (Black and Veatch) that worked with the Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA) in Ukraine. The Russian Government claims to have captured these documents during their invasion of Ukraine. The Russian Government then widely publicized these products in their own official reports in 2022."
So Loomer is trying to paint American intelligence as Russian intelligence, just because Russians publicized it?
@CraigDemel I do not know what Loomer is trying to achieve here. I agree with the analysis that Tulsi Gabbard is a Russian agent. Gabbard’s release misleadingly repackages publicly known U.S.-Ukraine CTR/BTRP biosecurity work in a way that amplifies a Russian disinformation narrative.
Specifically in the context of the above screenshot, I agree that the U.S.-Ukraine biological cooperation is "Cooperative Threat Reduction" (as in, securing dangerous pathogen collections, improving biosafety, and supporting disease surveillance), and not a U.S.-Ukrainian bioweapons program as pushed by Russian disinformation efforts.
I also agree with Loomer when she points out that Gabbard’s ODNI release is misleadingly framed. The press release talks about “biolabs,” alleged coverups, dangerous pathogens, and “in some cases” gain-of-function research, but the released slides do not establish these things took place in Ukraine at all. The release’s framing is intentionally designed to blur the distinction between ordinary "dangerous pathogen" public health/biosecurity work and biological weapons work. She can't get around the fact that there is no evidence that Ukraine’s cooperative program with the U.S. was involved in biological weapons or gain-of-function research.
The effect of the release is to amplify a Russian narrative. Russia has already cited the declassified materials as support for its allegations. Gabbard's goal is to provide Russia a manufactured excuse.
She follows Russia's narrative on nuclear weapons and Iran: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/tulsi-gabbard-sidelined-trump-administration-discussions-israel-iran-rcna212702
@Shai Good question. By 2030 I'm not entirely sure, it depends on a lot of factors that are hard to predict. If she gets arrested in that timeframe then the likelihood of credible evidence being made public goes up by a lot, but even then it's not 100%.
Would be interesting to have another question like this one where the resolution date is 2100.
@Shai my guess is her gameplan is to keep walking in lockstep with Russia's interests and rapidly spread its influence in the US establishment, anticipating that there will be a major conflict between the US and China/Russia in the next 10 years. If things play out the way she's hoping then that influence will reap personal dividends when the time comes.
Only problem is that she's not really smart enough to pull it off without major fumbles. This episode is just one example, and it's likely that much more egregious violations of operational security will occur under her watch. Question then is how do the other branches of government react, and will they wake up in time
