Will China extend its Ga/Ge/Sb export-ban suspension for the US past Nov 27, 2026, as of December 31, 2026?
3
100á¹€78Dec 31
75%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has renewed or extended the MOFCOM civilian-use export suspension (covering gallium, germanium, antimony, and superhard materials to the US) beyond November 27, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise.
Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will China restrict exports of mercury on December 31, 2026?
75% chance
Will China restrict exports of niobium on December 31, 2026?
88% chance
Will China restrict exports of chromium or ferrochrome on December 31, 2026?
88% chance
Will China's suspension of its October 2025 rare-earth export controls still be in effect on November 30, 2026?
86% chance
Will China have extended its europium export-control pause beyond November 10, 2026, as of December 31, 2026?
79% chance
Will China's suspension of its October 2025 export controls still be in effect on December 31, 2026?
84% chance
Will China restrict exports of antimony on December 31, 2026?
89% chance
Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
31% chance
Will China restrict exports of beryllium on December 31, 2026?
88% chance
Will China restrict exports of gallium on December 31, 2026?
88% chance