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Will China control Taiwan in 2040?
22
1kṀ2292
2040
53%
chance

This question resolves to "YES" if for the whole duration of year 2040 mainland China controls majority of Taiwan territory.

Politics
China
Taiwan
China Taiwan potential conflict
Chip Wars
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comprou Ṁ15 NO

Think they'll control Taiwan before then, but lose it before 2040

Would love to bet on this but such long-term markets tie up capital for a long period :(

@TedSuzman loans system addresses this. Basically you get your mana back after a year

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